Between 2015 and 2020 I read often about new international free-trade-accords. For examples, there is the Eurasian Economic Union (2015), the CETA between the European Union and Canada (2015) and recently the free-trade accord in east asia and south pacific, which is centered around China (2020). Whereas superpower-states und great international corporations gain more and more influence, the EU is divided in the middle of an historic pandemic, while China is cementing its economic sphere of inflence in the pacific regions.

The eurasian world, will be probably turned around East Asia and not, as the neoeurasianists like Alexander Dugin hoped and promoted, toward Russia. Even though Putin’s national-illiberal Statism or Dugin’s illiberal neoeurasianism are more damaging the westeuropean kind of liberal democracy than the chinese form of socialism. Maybe the chinese leadership could gain economic influence in Asia to calm the conflicts in the middle-east as well as in the former soviet republics. If the chinese could « buy » Afro-Eurasia, then it will be only the true supreme power of this world.

Even though, civil liberties are higher rated in Russia[1] and political rights higher in Iran[2] than in China[2] according to Freedom House, while China is behaving less peacefully with the „rebellious provinces“ (Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang) and tensions increased during the border conflicts with India. Albeit, China has no rational interest to provoque nuclear powers like India or the USA. If the chinese paramount leader or the collectif leadership wants peace, then Afro-Eurasia could profit from it. If they or he wants to solve disputes with violence, then world peace is at great risk. India and USA seems to be chinas greatest rivals, but it attractes surely also the envy of its neigbour; the powermongering russian president Vladimir Putin.

Europa must unite, if it wants to be strong enough to handle the economic concurrence with China, but european unity remains fragile in times of neonationalism. Even though, the EU needs Canada (wich has the CETA-accord with the EU) and the USA (which has the NAFTA-accord with Canada). To reinforce economic ties, the transatlantic partnership and cooperation may be even more important.

Should maybe the EU, Canada, USA and Latin America form an greather atlantic economic bloc? It could avert a power monopoly over the world. If China controls Afro-Asia and is in loyal concurrence with Euro-America, the world would not be dominated by one government and one single government will not takle all the issues on all contiments alone. Meanwhile, Europe should make an ultimate legal act to enforce a longterm guideline on eurasian economy or even global economy, so that for the next seven years there is a plan how to handle in concrete ways. Europe must invest to protect its economic autonomy, because elsewise its politics and will be more under the influence of economic powers. He who pay for the song decides also which song is played.

Furthermore, chinese politics actually are incresingly influential. While the muslim-minority of the Uyghur is deported in China in reeducation-camps, muslim chief of states are remaining quiet in the fear of awakening the asian dragon. In the West the support for the Dalai-Lama became even more limited. Above else, „poorer“ countries are tendentially easier for China to buy their ressources and even so to influence their politics. Greece and Italy were eager to make business with China to help their economy.

Many are speculating, that the 21st century will be an „asian century“. If this will be, then in the ideal case, it shall bring peace and prosperity with China’s and the regional powers‘ help in Afro-Eurasia. If Xi Jinping, the chinese president, paramount leader and chairman of the CCP wants to contribute in the building of the near future of the afroeurasian landmass in the next decades, then he takes also responsabilities for his (geo)politics who affects most of humanity.

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[1] https://freedomhouse.org/country/russia/freedom-world/2020.

[2] https://freedomhouse.org/country/iran/freedom-world/2020.

[3] https://freedomhouse.org/country/china/freedom-world/2020.

Julien Sita, 24th November 2020.