Many political parties in Iraq are fighting for power after the deafeat of ISIL. They are many parties which have their own milicias. Some of these are allied and backed up by the Ayatollahs in Iran. The web of pro-iranian milicias extens from Afghanistan to Libanon and seems to form the prototype of an pan-shia empire dominated by Iran. Even though the countries under Irans influence are chronically instable. The imperium iranum might collapse by the next regional crisis. Armed groups, angry mobs and corrupted officials seem to make the law in many instable countries. Iran will therefore unlikely annex Iraq, its former province. Even though the political instability can make as much impossible to the fusion as the nationalistic sentiments; Iraq considers itself as an arabian nation, whereas Iran as persian. A total political unification would contradict these national sentiments.

By the way these two countries are going to have important elections. Iraq will elect a new parliament, which determined the new premier, whereas Iran will elect a new president. The political resignation since 2018 in these two countries has been very high. A high electoral participation rate will probably not happen, so a few pressure groups might very strongly influence the outcome of the election. In addition, as often experienced, low particiapation rates favors ambitious small political parties. Although nothing is yet decided, it seems that the parties and candidates with the most influence over the armed forces (and so indirectly also over the economy) have the most chances to win the 2021 elections.

Sources:

• Private militias in Iraq – Wikipedia .
• Council of Representatives of Iraq – Wikipedia .
• 2021 Iraqi parliamentary election – Wikipedia .
• Politics of Iran – Wikipedia .
• President of Iran – Wikipedia .
• 2021 Iranian presidential election – Wikipedia .

Julien Sita, February 17th, 2021.